Family of Documents

The Family of Documents provides the technical foundation for the Heartland 2060 Building a Resilient Region Plan.

Scenario Modeling

  • Regional Generalized Future Land Use Map (Generalized FLUM)
    The Future Land Use Element of every local Comprehensive Plan in the region (7 counties and 28 cities) were gathered, standardized, and combined into a database that summarizes the people’s desired future development pattern for the region.
  • Transportation Cost Model (TCM)
    Transportation-related costs were estimated for the entire Heartland region by examining a location’s proximity to jobs, goods, and services. These factors were estimated based on household size, location, and fuel costs.
  • Sea Level Rise (SLR)
    The potential future displaced population that might migrate to the Heartland was estimated assuming a three foot rise in sea level by the year 2060. Ultimately, there were not enough extra immigrants (only ~1-2% extra) to justify alternative scenario development.
  • Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy (LUCIS)
    This report outlines the methodology for the model and process that projects future land use patterns and development for each of the three Heartland Futures. The LUCIS model identifies conflicts between certain characteristics associated with individual areas of land and balances those conflicts according to user-defined criteria.
  • Heartland Economic Futures
    Three future development scenarios, or Futures, were envisioned as either a continuation of the Current Economy, or alternative Futures focused on alternative energy or trade and logistics. Alternative future scenario modeling is used to project these Futures and estimate their impact on employment and residential development trends to give local officials a tool for use in planning and decision making.
  • Population Projections Methodology
    Population projections to the year 2060 were created for the seven Heartland counties. These projections were used in the scenario modeling.
  • Employment Projections Methodology
    Employment projections to the year 2060 were created for the seven Heartland counties, in each of 23 different NAICS employment categories. These projections were used in the scenario modeling.

Affordable Housing

  • Housing Suitability Model (HSM)
    The Housing Suitability Model (HSM) was developed by the University of Florida Shimberg Center for Housing Studies. The model uses local data to create a spatial snapshot of affordable housing suitability of the region.
  • Fair Housing and Equity Assessment (FHEA)
    The Fair Housing Equity Assessment (FHEA) uses HUD-provided and local datasets to investigate the status of housing with regard to race and poverty.
  • Affordable Parcel Inventory (API)
    To measure residential affordability, housing and transportation costs were estimated for every residential parcel. Rent, mortgage, property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, utilities, and transportation costs were estimated for each residential parcel.


Economic Development Strategies

  • Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy (CEDS)
    The Heartland Region’s Five-Year Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy analyzes the economic health of the region and creates a roadmap for the future. The CEDS identifies goals, key projects, opportunities, and investments as well as establishes indicators to track the progress being made.

Environment and Natural Resources