Family of Documents

The Family of Documents provides the technical foundation for the Heartland 2060 Building a Resilient Region Plan.

Scenario Modeling

• Regional Generalized Future Land Use Map (Generalized FLUM)
  The Future Land Use Element of every local Comprehensive Plan in the region (7 counties and 28 cities) were gathered, standardized, and combined into a database that summarizes the people’s desired future development pattern for the region.
• Transportation Cost Model (TCM)
  Transportation-related costs were estimated for the entire Heartland region by examining a location’s proximity to jobs, goods, and services. These factors were estimated based on household size, location, and fuel costs.
• Sea Level Rise (SLR)
  The potential future displaced population that might migrate to the Heartland was estimated assuming a three foot rise in sea level by the year 2060. Ultimately, there were not enough extra immigrants (only ~1-2% extra) to justify alternative scenario development.
• Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy (LUCIS)
  This report outlines the methodology for the model and process that projects future land use patterns and development for each of the three Heartland Futures. The LUCIS model identifies conflicts between certain characteristics associated with individual areas of land and balances those conflicts according to user-defined criteria.
• Heartland Economic Futures
  Three future development scenarios, or Futures, were envisioned as either a continuation of the Current Economy, or alternative Futures focused on alternative energy or trade and logistics. Alternative future scenario modeling is used to project these Futures and estimate their impact on employment and residential development trends to give local officials a tool for use in planning and decision making.
• Population Projections Methodology
  Population projections to the year 2060 were created for the seven Heartland counties. These projections were used in the scenario modeling.
• Employment Projections Methodology
  Employment projections to the year 2060 were created for the seven Heartland counties, in each of 23 different NAICS employment categories. These projections were used in the scenario modeling.

Affordable Housing

• Housing Suitability Model (HSM)
  The Housing Suitability Model (HSM) was developed by the University of Florida Shimberg Center for Housing Studies. The model uses local data to create a spatial snapshot of affordable housing suitability of the region.
• Fair Housing and Equity Assessment (FHEA)
  The Fair Housing Equity Assessment (FHEA) uses HUD-provided and local datasets to investigate the status of housing with regard to race and poverty.
• Affordable Parcel Inventory (API)
  To measure residential affordability, housing and transportation costs were estimated for every residential parcel. Rent, mortgage, property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, utilities, and transportation costs were estimated for each residential parcel.

Energy

• Florida Heartland Greenhouse Gas and Energy Baseline Inventory (EBI)
  This comprehensive assessment of greenhouse gas emissions and energy use for the entire Heartland region is groundbreaking in its depth and breadth of scope.
• Florida Energy Resiliency Report (FERR)
  Florida’s energy vulnerabilities and opportunities are assessed and strategies are provided for improving economic resiliency to potential energy supply disruption events, as well as case studies of early adopters of energy resiliency technologies.

Economic Development Strategies

• Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy (CEDS)
  The Heartland Region’s Five-Year Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy analyzes the economic health of the region and creates a roadmap for the future. The CEDS identifies goals, key projects, opportunities, and investments as well as establishes indicators to track the progress being made.

Environment and Natural Resources

• Heartland Ecological Assessment Report
  Used in the Futures modeling, this dataset prioritizes land based on its ecological value and is useful for conservation planning at state, regional, and local levels.
• Regional Assessment of Critical Lands and Waters (Regional CLIP) for the Cooperative Conservation Blueprint (CCB) Pilot Project
  The Heartland Futures modeling uses a combination of ecological priorities data from both the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission Cooperative Conservation Blueprint Regional Pilot Project (CCB) and the original Heartland 2060 ecological priorities. This dataset prioritizes land based on its ecological.
• Cooperative Conservation Blueprint (CCB) Regional Pilot Project
  This multi-partner strategic conservation process has created conservation incentives to provide for wildlife habitat and connectivity priorities across Florida.

CFRPC Executive Director Shares Heartland 2060 Vision as it Relates to SB 7068

On April 18, 2019, Central Florida Regional Planning Council Executive Director Pat Steed participated in an webinar hosted by 1000 Friends of Florida to discuss the planning implications of SB 7068 for the Heartland Region. The proposed legislation would create the “multi-use corridors of regional economic significance program” within the Florida Department of Transportation, and would be intended to facilitate expressways through rural counties in the name of economic development. Some of the specific projects being proposed include the previously halted Heartland Parkway connecting Polk and Collier counties, and the Suncoast Connector linking the Florida Turnpike to the Georgia state line by way of the existing Suncoast Parkway. Also discussed were the implications for state transportation policy, regional planning, and land and habitat conservation.

You can download a copy of the Heartland 2060 Regional Vision presentation here.